The S&P 500 futures are flat and are trading roughly in line with fair value. The Nasdaq 100 futures are down 8 points and are trading fractionally below fair value. The Dow Jones Industrial Average futures are up 33 points and are trading 0.1% above fair value.
The stock futures market has been mixed, yet little changed. Following Friday's softer finish that featured a late afternoon slide in the mega cap stocks, market participants are waiting to see if there will be any follow through selling or if there will be an inclination to buy into weakness.
The wait-and-see mentality also comes ahead of the start of earnings reporting season at the end of the week. Before that, market participants will receive the June Consumer Price Index on Wednesday.
On a related note, China's CPI was unchanged yr/yr in the June reading while PPI (-5.4% yr/yr) contracted for the ninth consecutive month, falling at its fastest pace in seven years. These reports have fueled speculation about additional policy stimulus in China.
The 2-yr Treasury note yield is down four basis points to 4.90% and the 10-yr note yield is unchanged at 4.04%.
In corporate news:
NVIDIA (NVDA 427.76, +2.73, +0.6%): Goldman Sachs reiterated Buy rating and raised price target to $495 from $440
Netflix (NFLX 438.90, +0.80, +0.2%): Morgan Stanley raised price target to $450 from $350; reiterates Equal Weight rating
Tesla (TSLA 276.25, +1.82, +0.7%): Jefferies raised price target to $265 from $185; maintains Hold rating
Fisker (FSR 5.96, -0.04, -0.7%): announces $340 mln convertible notes offering with potential to increase to $680 mln; rolls out first models to US buyers, according to WSJ
Helen of Troy (HELE 124.83, +11.96, +10.6%): beats by $0.26, beats on revs; reaffirms FY24 EPS guidance, revs guidance
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM 100.45, +0.22, +0.2%): reports June 2023 revs -11.1% yr/yr to NT 156.4 bln
Reviewing overnight developments:
Equity indices in the Asia-Pacific region began the week on a mixed note. Japan's Nikkei: -0.6%, Hong Kong's Hang Seng: +0.6%, China's Shanghai Composite: +0.2%, India's Sensex: +0.1%, South Korea's Kospi: -0.2%, Australia's ASX All Ordinaries: -0.5%.
In economic data:
China's June CPI -0.2% m/m (expected 0.0%; last -0.2%); 0.0% yr/yr (expected 0.2%; last 0.2%). June PPI -5.4% yr/yr (expected -5.0%; last -4.6%)
Japan's May Current Account surplus JPY1.70 trln (expected surplus of JPY1.20 trln; last surplus of JPY1.90 trln). June Economy Watchers Current Index 53.6 (expected 55.0; last 55.0)
Australia's May Building Approvals 20.6% m/m, as expected (last -6.8%) and Private House Approvals 0.9% m/m, as expected (last -3.0%)
In news:
Treasury Secretary Yellen concluded her visit to China, saying that the U.S. and China have significant disagreements and they must be communicated clearly and directly.
China's CPI was unchanged yr/yr in the June reading while PPI contracted for the ninth consecutive month.
The People's Bank of China should shift its stimulus focus to consumption, according to a PBoC advisor.
Major European indices trade in the green. STOXX Europe 600: +0.1%, Germany's DAX: +0.5%, U.K.'s FTSE 100: +0.3%, France's CAC 40: +0.6%, Italy's FTSE MIB: +0.6%, Spain's IBEX 35: +0.2%.
In economic data:
Eurozone's July Sentix Investor Confidence -22.5 (expected -17.9; last -17.0)
In news:
Dutch Prime Minister Rutte's coalition government collapsed due to a disagreement over immigration policy. A general election will be held later this year.
European Central Bank policymaker Villeroy de Galhau said that the ECB's peak rate will be reached soon and that the inflationary peak has been passed in France.
British Chancellor Hunt has reportedly ruled out a tax cut ahead of this fall's election.
The NATO summit will begin in Lithuania tomorrow.
U.S. equity futures:
S&P 500 Futures: +1 @ 4,435
DJIA Futures: +33 @ 33,970
Nasdaq 100 Futures: -8 @ 15,174
Overseas:
Europe: DAX +0.5%, FTSE +0.3%, CAC +0.6%
Asia: Nikkei -0.6%, Hang Seng +0.6%, Shanghai +0.2%
Commodities:
Crude Oil -0.52 @ 73.34
Nat Gas +0.077 @ 2.647
Gold -3.00 @ 1929.50
Silver +0.001 @ 23.290
Copper -0.0345 @ 3.7475
Earnings/Guidance:
ASE Technology ( ASX ▾ 0.53% ) reports Jun revs declined 19.4% yr/yr to NT$46.72 bln
AZZ ( AZZ ▴ 2.08% ) misses by $0.02, misses on revs; reaffirms FY24 EPS and revenue guidance
ChipMOS TECHNOLOGIES IMOS 0.00% reports June revs declined 15% yr/yr; sees Q2 revs above consensus
FMC Corp ( FMC ▾ 8.33% ) sees Q2 and FY23 revs well below consensus
Helen of Troy ( HELE ▴ 16.15% ) beats by $0.26, beats on revs; reaffirms FY24 EPS guidance, revs guidance
NanoString Technologies ( NSTG ▴ 25.95% ) sees Q2 revs above consensus; reaffirms FY23 revs
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing ( TSM ▾ 0.41% ) reports June 2023 revs -11.1% yr/yr to NT 156.4 bln
News:
Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen in interview says recession risk is "not completely off the table." She said her trip to China was successful because it created the opportunity for a deeper set of more frequent contacts between the two nations, according to CBS News
President Biden in interview says Russian war on Ukraine must end before Ukrainian NATO membership can be considered, according to CNN
The NATO summit will begin Tuesday in Lithuania
Chinese inflation data adds to speculation about stimulus, according to Bloomberg
Dutch Prime Minister Rutte's coalition government collapsed due to a disagreement over immigration policy
European Central Bank policymaker Villeroy de Galhau said that the ECB's peak rate will be reached soon and that the inflationary peak has been passed in France
More countries are repatriating gold reserves, according to Reuters
Alibaba ( BABA ▴ 1.55% ): Ant Group proposes share repurchase
Apple ( AAPL ▾ 1.13% ) Vision Pro is expected to take longer than other products to generate large revenue, according to Bloomberg
ArcBest ( ARCB ▴ 1.02% ): Teamsters contract fully ratified
Ashford Hospitality Trust ( AHT ▾ 4.19% ) makes strategic decision to reduce leverage and conserve cash
Carl Icahn ( IEP ▴ 17.15% ) finalized amended loan agreements with banks, according to The Wall Street Journal
Nanobiotix ( NBTX ▴ 45.75% ) announces license agreement for worldwide co-development and commercialization of potential first-in-class Radioenhancer NBTXR3
Novavax ( NVAX ▴ 21.30% ) amends deal with Canada; customer agreed to pay $349.6 mln
Novo Nordisk A/S ( NVO ▴ 0.01% ) weight loss drug under investigation in EU over reported suicides, according to Bloomberg
Robert Half Intl ( RHI ▴ 1.78% ) announces it is changing its name to Robert Half Inc. effective July 17
Union Pacific Railroad ( UNP ▴ 1.05% ) and the International Association of Sheet Metal, Air, Rail and Transportation Workers reached a tentative agreement to provide up to eight paid sick leave days to around 5,900 railroad employees
Steel Dynamics ( STLD ▴ 0.96% ) announces unplanned outage of the hot mill at its Sinton Mill
M&A:
Bio-Techne ( TECH ▴ 2.15% ) completes Lunaphore acquisition
GasLog Partners ( GLOP 0.00% ): Unitholders approve previously announced merger whereby GasLog Ltd. (Parent) will acquire all outstanding common units of the Partnership not beneficially owned by Parent
Hecla Mining HL ▴ 1.96% completes acquisition of ATAC Resources and restarts Casa Berardi
Honeywell ( HON ▴ 1.74% ) has agreed to acquire SCADAfence
Kering ( PPRUF ) paid EUR 3.5 bln to acquire fragrance brand Creed, according to FT
TPG Inc. ( TPG ▴ 0.14% ) to acquire Forcepoint Global Governments and Critical Infrastructure Business from Francisco Partners; financial terms were not disclosed
Syndicate:
3D Systems ( DDD ▴ 4.29% ) files mixed securities shelf offering
Brookfield Business Corporation ( BBUC ▾ 0.31% ) may from time to time issue up to $1.5 bln of its class A exchangeable subordinate voting shares
Brookfield Business Partners ( BBU ▴ 0.22% ) files for limited partnership unit offering
Callon Petroleum ( CPE ▴ 1.04% ) files for 6,267,385 share common stock offering by selling shareholder
Equitrans Midstream ( ETRN ▴ 0.11% ) files for 30,018,446 Series A perpetual convertible preferred shares offering by selling shareholders; 30,018,446 shares of common stock issuable upon conversion of the Series a perpetual
Fisker ( FSR ▾ 1.00% ) announces $340 mln convertible notes offering with potential to increase to $680 mln
NET Power ( NPWR ▾ 4.53% ) files for 201,480,913 share common stock offering by selling shareholders; relates to warrants
TROOPS ( TROO 0.00% ) files for $100 mln mixed securities shelf offering
IPOs:
There are no IPOs scheduled at this time
Gapping Up/Down
Gapping up:
NBTX +42.1%, HELE +10.6%, NSTG +8.4%, BDTX +5.2%, HCM +2.7%, VLRS +2.4%, SCLX +1.9%, NVAX +1.8%, VERI +1.3%, STLD +0.9%, NPWR +0.7%, JFIN +0.6%
Gapping down:
TROO -6%, FMC -4.9%, ARCB -1.6%, AZZ -1.4%, AAPL -0.9%, TSM -0.7%, IMOS -0.5%
Analyst Research (see Upgrades/Downgrades calendar for full list):
Upgrades
AmBev (ABEV) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at BofA Securities
BlackRock (BLK) upgraded to Outperform from Mkt Perform at Keefe Bruyette; tgt raised to $835
Patterson-UTI (PTEN) upgraded to Outperform from Sector Perform at RBC Capital Mkts; tgt $19
Sealed Air (SEE) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at BofA Securities; tgt lowered to $52
Weyerhaeuser (WY) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at BofA Securities; tgt raised to $38
Downgrades:
Amcor (AMCR) downgraded to Underperform from Buy at BofA Securities; tgt lowered to $9
Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. (AMBP) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at BofA Securities; tgt lowered to $4
Ares Management (ARES) downgraded to Mkt Perform from Outperform at Keefe Bruyette; tgt lowered to $98
Bill.com (BILL) downgraded to Mkt Perform from Outperform at Keefe Bruyette; tgt lowered to $120
Cardinal Health (CAH) downgraded to In-line from Outperform at Evercore ISI; tgt $100
Citizens Financial Group (CFG) downgraded to In-line from Outperform at Evercore ISI; tgt lowered to $29
Graphic Packaging (GPK) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at BofA Securities; tgt lowered to $29
Helmerich & Payne (HP) downgraded to Sector Perform from Outperform at RBC Capital Mkts; tgt lowered to $45
Int'l Paper (IP) downgraded to Underperform from Neutral at BofA Securities; tgt lowered to $33
MercadoLibre (MELI) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at BofA Securities; tgt lowered to $1350
The Aaron's Company (AAN) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Loop Capital; tgt lowered to $14
Others:
Amazon (AMZN) initiated with an Outperform at CICC; tgt $140
Protara Therapeutics (TARA) assumed with a Buy at Guggenheim; tgt $22
The Metals Company (TMC) initiated with a Buy at ThinkEquity; tgt $6
Econ Data:
10:00 ET: May Wholesale Inventories (Briefing.com consensus -0.1%; Prior -0.1%)
15:00 ET: May Consumer Credit (Briefing.com consensus $21.0B; Prior $23.0B)
Earnings:
Monday (July 10)
Morning: HELE
Afternoon: PSMT WDFC
Tuesday (July 11)
Morning: None
Afternoon: None
Wednesday (July 12)
Morning: ANGO
Afternoon: MLKN
Thursday (July 13)
Morning: CTAS CAG DAL FAST PEP PGR
Afternoon: WAFD
Friday (Jul 14)
Morning: BLK C ERIC JPM STT UNH WFC
Afternoon: None
Asia & Europe detail:
Asia: Nikkei -0.6%, Hang Seng +0.6%, Shanghai +0.2%
Equity indices in the Asia-Pacific region began the week on a mixed note. Treasury Secretary Yellen concluded her visit to China, saying that the U.S. and China have significant disagreements and they must be communicated clearly and directly. China's CPI was unchanged yr/yr in the June reading while PPI contracted for the ninth consecutive month. The People's Bank of China should shift its stimulus focus to consumption, according to a PBoC advisor.
In economic data:
China's June CPI -0.2% m/m (expected 0.0%; last -0.2%); 0.0% yr/yr (expected 0.2%; last 0.2%). June PPI -5.4% yr/yr (expected -5.0%; last -4.6%)
Japan's May Current Account surplus JPY1.70 trln (expected surplus of JPY1.20 trln; last surplus of JPY1.90 trln). June Economy Watchers Current Index 53.6 (expected 55.0; last 55.0)
Australia's May Building Approvals 20.6% m/m, as expected (last -6.8%) and Private House Approvals 0.9% m/m, as expected (last -3.0%)
---Equity Markets---
Japan's Nikkei: -0.6%
Hong Kong's Hang Seng: +0.6%
China's Shanghai Composite: +0.2%
India's Sensex: +0.1%
South Korea's Kospi: -0.2%
Australia's ASX All Ordinaries: -0.5%
---FX---
USD/JPY: +0.3% to 142.44
USD/CNH: -0.2% to 7.2450
USD/INR: UNCH at 82.57
Europe: DAX +0.5%, FTSE +0.3%, CAC +0.6%
Major European indices trade in the green. Dutch Prime Minister Rutte's coalition government collapsed due to a disagreement over immigration policy. A general election will be held later this year. European Central Bank policymaker Villeroy de Galhau said that the ECB's peak rate will be reached soon and that the inflationary peak has been passed in France. British Chancellor Hunt has reportedly ruled out a tax cut ahead of this fall's election. The NATO summit will begin in Lithuania tomorrow.
In economic data:
Eurozone's July Sentix Investor Confidence -22.5 (expected -17.9; last -17.0)
---Equity Markets---
STOXX Europe 600: +0.1%
Germany's DAX: +0.5%
U.K.'s FTSE 100: +0.3%
France's CAC 40: +0.6%
Italy's FTSE MIB: +0.6%
Spain's IBEX 35: +0.2%
---FX---
EUR/USD: -0.1% to 1.0954
GBP/USD: -0.5% to 1.2776
USD/CHF: +0.3% to 0.8900
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